Dale Cooper has over twenty-five years of international experience with risk management for large and complex projects. He is a Fellow of the Australian Institute of Company Directors, an Affiliate of the Securities Institute of Australia, a member of the Risk Engineering Society and the Society for Risk Analysis, and an accredited provider of risk management consulting services to government agencies in Australia and New Zealand. Since late 1991, Dale Cooper has run Broadleaf Capital International, a consulting company that specialises in high-level strategic, organisational and project risk analysis, for both public and private sector clients. His risk consulting activities have included assignments in North America, Europe, Australasia, Asia and the Middle East. He is a member of the Standards Australia Technical Committee that developed the risk management standard AS/NZS 4360 and associated handbooks.

Pauline Brosnich worked in engineering companies, providing risk management support with an emphasis on maximizing safety and optimizing reliability and operation of projects. She has worked extensively in the minerals, resources and transport industries. providing advice on risk management and facilitating risk workshops for projects and for operations. At Broadleaf, she has continued providing risk advice for customers in these areas as well as for Defence, government and not-for-profit organisations. She has developed in the area of providing and implementing risk management frameworks that are tailored to the individual requirements of specific organisations.

About the Authors vii

Foreword to the Second Edition xi

Preface xiii

Acknowledgements xv

Introduction to Project Risk Management xvii

Part I Project Risk Management: Principles and Framework 1

Chapter 1 Principles of Effective Project Risk Management 3

Chapter 2 Project Phases and Approval Decisions 9

Chapter 3 Framework for Managing Risk in Projects 23

Part II The Project Risk Management Process 33

Chapter 4 The Approach to Managing Risk in Projects 35

Chapter 5 Communication and Consultation 41

Chapter 6 Establish the Context 49

Chapter 7 Risk Identification 69

Chapter 8 Qualitative Risk Analysis and Risk Evaluation 77

Chapter 9 Semi-Quantitative Risk Assessment for Systems and Sub-Systems 95

Chapter 10 Risk Treatment 105

Chapter 11 Monitoring and Review 117

Chapter 12 Recording and Reporting 123

Chapter 13 Managing Opportunities 129

Chapter 14 Simplifying the Process 141

Part III Quantitative Risk Analysis for Projects 151

Chapter 15 Introduction to Quantification for Project Risks 153

Chapter 16 Cost Risk Assessment 173

Chapter 17 Schedule Risk Analysis 197

Chapter 18 Investment Evaluation for Large Projects 219

Chapter 19 Risk Analysis and Economic Appraisal 241

Part IV Extending the Process 251

Chapter 20 Contracts and Risk Allocation 253

Chapter 21 Case Study: Tender Evaluation 265

Chapter 22 Market Testing and Outsourcing 271

Chapter 23 Public–Private Partnerships and Private Financing 283

Chapter 24 Technical Tools and Techniques 303

Chapter 25 Managing Environment-Related Risks 323

Chapter 26 Climate Change 345

Part V Additional Information and Supporting Material 351

Chapter 27 Other Approaches to Project Risk Management 353

Chapter 28 Risk Management Process Checklist 361

Chapter 29 Worksheets and Evaluation Tables 365

Chapter 30 Examples of Risks and Treatments 381

Glossary 393

References 397

Index 401

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