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An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic

ISBN: 9780521775014 | 0521775019
Format: Paperback
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Pub. Date: 7/2/2001

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SummaryTable of Contents
This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability, and considers such topics as decision theory, Bayesianism, frequency ideas, and the philosophical problem of induction.

An introductory textbook on probability and induction written by a foremost philosopher of science.
A Note on the Cover Illustrationix
Forewordxi
Odd Questionsxv
LOGIC
Logic
1(10)
... MORE
What Is Inductive Logic?
11(12)
HOW TO CALCULATE PROBABILITIES
The Gambler's Fallacy
23(14)
Elementary Probability Ideas
37(10)
Conditional Probability
47(11)
The Basic Rules of Probability
58(11)
Bayes' Rule
69(10)
HOW TO COMBINE PROBABILITIES AND UTILITIES
Expected Value
79(19)
Maximizing Expected Value
98(16)
Decision under Uncertainty
114(13)
KINDS OF PROBABILITY
What Do You Mean?
127(13)
Theories about Probability
140(11)
PROBABILITY AS A MEASURE OF BELIEF
Personal Probabilities
151(12)
Coherence
163(8)
Learning from Experience
171(18)
PROBABILITY AS FREQUENCY
Stability
189(12)
Normal Approximations
201(8)
Significance and Power
209(20)
Confidence and Inductive Behavior
229(18)
PROBABILITY APPLIED TO PHILOSOPHY
The Philosophical Problem of Induction
247(9)
Learning from Experience as an Evasion of the Problem of Induction
256(5)
Inductive Behavior as an Evasion of the Problem of Induction
261(8)
Answers to the Exercises269(24)
Further Reading293(7)
Index300


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