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Conned Again, Watson Cautionary Tales Of Logic, Math, And Probability

9780738205892

Conned Again, Watson Cautionary Tales Of Logic, Math, And Probability

  • ISBN 13:

    9780738205892

  • ISBN 10:

    0738205893

  • Edition: Reprint
  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 12/06/2001
  • Publisher: Basic Books

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Summary

In Conned Again, Watson!, Colin Bruce re-creates the atmosphere of the original Sherlock Holmes stories to shed light on an enduring truth: Our reliance on common sense-and ignorance of mathematics-often gets us into trouble. In these cautionary tales of greedy gamblers, reckless businessmen, and ruthless con men, Sherlock Holmes uses his deep understanding of probability, statistics, decision theory, and game theory to solve crimes and protect the innocent. But it's not just the characters in these well-crafted stories that are deceived by statistics or fall prey to gambling fallacies. We all suffer from the results of poor decisions. In this illuminating collection, Bruce entertains while teaching us to avoid similar blunders. From "The Execution of Andrews" to "The Case of the Gambling Nobleman," there has never been a more exciting way to learn when to take a calculated risk-and how to spot a scam.

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