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Assessment of risk and uncertainty is crucial for natural hazard risk management, facilitating risk communication and informing strategies to successfully mitigate our society's vulnerability to natural disasters. Written by some of the world's leading experts, this book provides a state-of-the-art overview of risk and uncertainty assessment in natural hazards. It presents the core statistical concepts using clearly defined terminology applicable across all types of natural hazards and addresses the full range of sources of uncertainty, the role of expert judgement and the practice of uncertainty elicitation. The core of the book provides detailed coverage of all the main hazard types and concluding chapters address the wider societal context of risk management. This is an invaluable compendium for academic researchers and professionals working in the fields of natural hazards science, risk assessment and management and environmental science and will be of interest to anyone involved in natural hazards policy.
Table of Contents
List of contributors
Risk and uncertainty assessment in natural hazards
Quantifying natural hazard risk
Model limitations: the sources and implications of epistemic uncertainty
Expert elicitation and judgment
Risk and uncertainty in hydrometeorological hazards
Hydrometeorological hazards under future climate change
Hydrological flood uncertainty and risk research
Uncertainties in probabilistic seismic hazard assessment
Landslide and avalanche hazards
Tsunami hazard and risk
Risk and uncertainty assessment of volcanic hazards
Risk assessment and management of wildfires
Technological facilities, infrastructure and hazardous materials, including some notes on space weather
Statistical aspects of risk characterization in ecotoxicology
Social science perspectives on natural hazards risk and uncertainty
Human responses to natural hazard risk: considerations for improving the effectiveness of risk management systems
Table of Contents provided by Publisher. All Rights Reserved.