9781119141044

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Understand and interpret the global debt capital markets

Now in a completely updated and expanded edition, this is a technical guide to the yield curve, a key indicator of the global capital markets and the understanding and accurate prediction of which is critical to all market participants. Being able to accurately and timely predict the shape and direction of the curve permits practitioners to consistently outperform the market.

Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve, 2^nd Edition describes what the yield curve is, explains what it tells participants, outlines the significance of certain shapes that the curve assumes and, most importantly, demonstrates what factors drive it and how it is modelled and used.

Covers the FTP curve, the multi-currency curve, CSA, OIS-Libor and 3-curve models
Gets you up to speed on the secured curve
Describes application of theoretical versus market curve relative value trading
Explains the concept of the risk-free rate
Accessible demonstration of curve interpolation best-practice using cubic spline, Nelson-Siegel and Svensson 94 models

This advanced text is essential reading for traders, asset managers, bankers and financial analysts, as well as graduate students in banking and finance.

DR. MOORAD CHOUDHRY is Head of Asset-Liability Management at Cambridge & Counties Bank in Leicester. He previously worked as a sovereign bond trader at ABN Amro Hoare Govett Limited and Hambros Bank Limited, a structured finance repo trader at KBC Financial Products, and was latterly Treasurer, Corporate Banking Division at The Royal Bank of Scotland.

Moorad is a Fellow of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment, a Fellow of the London Institute of Banking and Finance, a Fellow of the Institute of Directors, and a Freeman of the Worshipful Company of International Bankers.

Foreword ix

Preface xi

Preface to the First Edition xiii

Acknowledgments xv

About the Author xvii

Part 1 Introduction to the Yield Curve 3

Chapter 1 The Yield Curve 5

Chapter 2 A Further Look at Spot and Forward Rates 61

Part 2 Yield Curve Modelling and Post-2008 Yield Curve Analytics 93

Chapter 3 Interest Rate Modelling I: Primer on Basic Concepts 95

Chapter 4 Interest Rate Modelling II: The Dynamic of Asset Prices 115

Chapter 5 Interest Rate Models I 139

Chapter 6 Interest Rate Models II 163

Chapter 7 The Index-Linked Bond Yield Curve 181

Chapter 8 Yield Curve Analytics in the Post-2008 Era 193

Chapter 9 Negative Interest Rate Analytics 219

Part 3 Fitting the Yield Curve 229

Chapter 10 Estimating and Fitting the Yield Curve I 231

Chapter 11 Estimating and Fitting the Yield Curve II 253

Part 4 Yield Curves and Relative Value Trading 277

Chapter 12 Yield Curves and Relative Value 279

Chapter 13 Identifying Relative Value in the US Treasury Market: Acquiring New Benchmark Definitions from an Ancillary Yield Curve 291

Appendix: Bond Yield Measurement 321

Index 353

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Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

Analysing and Interpreting the Yield Curve

1119141044

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