The Secrets of Economic Indicators Hidden Clues to Future Economic Trends and Investment Opport...
ISBN: 9780132932073 | 0132932075
Edition: 3rdFormat: Paperback
Publisher: FT Press
Pub. Date: 7/24/2012
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For years, investors, business strategists, and policymakers worldwide have turned to one book to help them translate the massive flow of economic data into knowledge for intelligent decision-making. The Wall Street Journalcalled this book "…the real deal," saying it "miraculously breathes life into economic indicators and statistics." That book is Bernie Baumohl's classic best-seller The Secrets of Economic Indicators. Now, in a brand-new Third Edition, Baumohl has thoroughly updated his classic to reflect the latest US and foreign economic ... MORE
| What's New in the Third Edition? | p. xvii |
| Preface | p. xxi |
| The Lock-Up | p. 1 |
| U.S. Economic Indicators | p. 6 |
| International Economic Indicators | p. 14 |
| A Beginner's Guide: Understanding the Lingo | p. 19 |
| Annual Rates | p. 19 |
| Business Cycle | p. 20 |
| Consensus Surveys | p. 22 |
| Moving Average | p. 23 |
| Nominal... MORE | p. 24 |
| Revisions and Benchmarks | p. 24 |
| Seasonal Adjustments | p. 25 |
| The Great Recession of 2008-2009 | p. 27 |
| The Most Influential U.S. Economic Indicators | p. 31 |
| Employment | |
| Employment Situation | p. 31 |
| Job Openings and Labor Turnover | p. 49 |
| Weekly Claims for Unemployment Insurance | p. 55 |
| Help-Wanted Online Advertising | p. 59 |
| Corporate Layoff and Hiring Announcements | p. 64 |
| Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS) | p. 70 |
| ADP National Employment Report | p. 75 |
| Consumer Spending and Confidence | |
| Personal Income and Spending | p. 82 |
| Retail Sales | p. 93 |
| E-Commerce Retail Sales | p. 99 |
| Weekly Chain Store Sales Reports | p. 102 |
| Consumer Credit Outstanding | p. 107 |
| Consumer Confidence Index | p. 112 |
| Survey of Consumer Sentiment | p. 117 |
| Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index | p. 120 |
| Google Insights | p. 123 |
| Las Vegas Gaming Revenues | p. 126 |
| National Output and Inventories | |
| Gross Domestic Product (GDP) | p. 130 |
| Durable Goods Orders | p. 148 |
| Factory Orders | p. 155 |
| Business Inventories | p. 162 |
| Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization | p. 170 |
| Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey | p. 181 |
| Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey | p. 188 |
| Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (Business Barometer) | p. 191 |
| Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) | p. 196 |
| Housing and Construction | |
| Housing Starts and Building Permits | p. 204 |
| Existing Home Sales | p. 210 |
| New Home Sales | p. 217 |
| Housing Market Index: National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) | p. 223 |
| Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey and the National Delinquency Survey | p. 227 |
| Construction Spending | p. 232 |
| The Federal Reserve | |
| Regional Federal Reserve Bank Reports | p. 235 |
| Federal Reserve Bank of New York: Empire State Manufacturing Survey | p. 236 |
| Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia: Business Outlook Survey | p. 242 |
| Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City: Manufacturing Survey of the 10th District | p. 246 |
| Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond: Manufacturing Activity in the Fifth District | p. 249 |
| Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago: National Activity Index (CFNAI) | p. 252 |
| The Federal Reserve Board's Beige Book | p. 255 |
| The Federal Open Market Committee Statement | p. 260 |
| Foreign Trade | |
| International Trade in Goods and Services | p. 269 |
| Current Account Balance (U.S. International Transactions) | p. 283 |
| Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the United States (Federal Reserve Board) | p. 291 |
| Treasury International Capital (TIC) System | p. 296 |
| Prices, Productivity, and Wages | |
| Consumer Price Index (CPI) | p. 305 |
| Producer Price Index (PPI) | p. 317 |
| Employment Cost Index | p. 323 |
| Import and Export Prices | p. 328 |
| Productivity and Costs | p. 335 |
| Employer Costs for Employee Compensation | p. 342 |
| Real Earnings | p. 346 |
| Yield Curve | p. 349 |
| Other Noteworthy U.S. Economic Indicators | |
| Credit Manager's Index | p. 355 |
| Small Business Economic Trends | p. 356 |
| Cass Freight Index | p. 357 |
| Weekly Railroad Traffic (freight) | p. 358 |
| Architecture Billings Index | p. 359 |
| S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index | p. 360 |
| International Economic Indicators: Why Are They So Important? | p. 361 |
| German Industrial Production | p. 364 |
| German TFO Business Climate Index | p. 366 |
| German Consumer Price Index (CPI) | p. 368 |
| ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment | p. 371 |
| Japan Industrial Production | p. 373 |
| Japan's Tankan Survey | p. 378 |
| Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) by Country and Region | p. 384 |
| OECD Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) | p. 393 |
| China Industrial Production | p. 396 |
| India: Industrial Production and Inflation | p. 403 |
| Brazil's Industrial Production and the DBC-Br Economic Activity Index | p. 410 |
| Canada: International Merchandise Trade, Composite Leading Indicators, Ivey Purchasing Managers Index | p. 416 |
| Australia: Consumer Prices, Retail Trade, International Trade | p. 422 |
| Best Web Sites for U.S. Economic Indicators | p. 429 |
| Schedule of Releases | p. 429 |
| Economic News | p. 429 |
| Free Mobile Phone Apps on the Economy | p. 429 |
| The U.S. Economy | p. 430 |
| Consumer Behavior | p. 431 |
| Employment Conditions | p. 432 |
| Home Sales and Construction Activity | p. 433 |
| International Trade | p. 433 |
| Inflation Pressures | p. 434 |
| Federal Reserve Reports | p. 434 |
| The Federal Budget | p. 435 |
| Interest Rates | p. 435 |
| Money and Credit | p. 436 |
| U.S. Dollar | p. 436 |
| One-Stop Shopping for Economic Statistics | p. 436 |
| Other Useful Economic Sources on the Web | p. 437 |
| Unconventional Economic Indicators | p. 437 |
| Best Web Sites for International Economic Indicators | p. 439 |
| Calendar of Releases for Foreign Economic Data | p. 439 |
| Sources of Global Economic News | p. 439 |
| Economic Statistics from Other Countries | p. 439 |
| Best Megasites for International Economic Statistics | p. 444 |
| Index | p. 447 |
| Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved. |
Bernard Baumohl, Chief Global Economist at The Economic Outlook Group, oversees its forecasts of economic trends and geopolitical risks. He also conducts seminars on how corporate leaders and investors can use forward-looking economic indicators to stay ahead of the business cycle. He has lectured on economics at New York University, Duke University, and the New York Institute of Finance.
Baumohl was also an award-winning TIME magazine economics reporter who covered Wall Street, the Federal Reserve, and the White House. As an economist for European American Bank, he conducted research on the global economy. He also served as an analyst with the Council on Foreign Relations. Baumohl has a Master’s degree in international affairs and economics from Columbia University.
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