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| Preface | p. x |
| Dedication | p. xii |
| Introduction | p. 1 |
| What is Econometrics? | p. 1 |
| The Disturbance Term | p. 2 |
| Estimates and Estimators | p. 4 |
| Good and Preferred Estimators | p. 5 |
| General Notes | p. 6 |
| Technical Notes | p. 10 |
| Criteria for Estimators | p. 11 |
| Introduction | p. 11 |
| Com... MORE | p. 11 |
| Least Squares | p. 12 |
| Highest R[superscript 2] | p. 13 |
| Unbiasedness | p. 14 |
| Efficiency | p. 16 |
| Mean Square Error | p. 17 |
| Asymptotic Properties | p. 18 |
| Maximum Likelihood | p. 21 |
| Monte Carlo Studies | p. 22 |
| Adding Up | p. 25 |
| General Notes | p. 26 |
| Technical Notes | p. 32 |
| The Classical Linear Regression Model | p. 40 |
| Textbooks as Catalogs | p. 40 |
| The Five Assumptions | p. 41 |
| The OLS Estimator in the CLR Model | p. 43 |
| General Notes | p. 44 |
| Technical Notes | p. 47 |
| Interval Estimation and Hypothesis Testing | p. 51 |
| Introduction | p. 51 |
| Testing a Single Hypothesis: the t Test | p. 51 |
| Testing a Joint Hypothesis: the F Test | p. 52 |
| Interval Estimation for a Parameter Vector | p. 54 |
| LR, W, and LM Statistics | p. 56 |
| Bootstrapping | p. 58 |
| General Notes | p. 59 |
| Technical Notes | p. 67 |
| Specification | p. 71 |
| Introduction | p. 71 |
| Three Methodologies | p. 72 |
| General Principles for Specification | p. 75 |
| Misspecification Tests/Diagnostics | p. 76 |
| R[superscript 2] Again | p. 79 |
| General Notes | p. 81 |
| Technical Notes | p. 89 |
| Violating Assumption One: Wrong Regressors, Nonlinearities, and Parameter Inconstancy | p. 93 |
| Introduction | p. 93 |
| Incorrect Set of Independent Variables | p. 93 |
| Nonlinearity | p. 95 |
| Changing Parameter Values | p. 97 |
| General Notes | p. 100 |
| Technical Notes | p. 106 |
| Violating Assumption Two: Nonzero Expected Disturbance | p. 109 |
| General Notes | p. 111 |
| Violating Assumption Three: Nonspherical Disturbances | p. 112 |
| Introduction | p. 112 |
| Consequences of Violation | p. 113 |
| Heteroskedasticity | p. 115 |
| Autocorrelated Disturbances | p. 118 |
| Generalized Method of Moments | p. 122 |
| General Notes | p. 123 |
| Technical Notes | p. 129 |
| Violating Assumption Four: Instrumental Variable Estimation | p. 137 |
| Introduction | p. 137 |
| The IV Estimator | p. 141 |
| IV Issues | p. 144 |
| General Notes | p. 146 |
| Technical Notes | p. 151 |
| Violating Assumption Four: Measurement Errors and Autoregression | p. 157 |
| Errors in Variables | p. 157 |
| Autoregression | p. 160 |
| General Notes | p. 163 |
| Technical Notes | p. 167 |
| Violating Assumption Four: Simultaneous Equations | p. 171 |
| Introduction | p. 171 |
| Identification | p. 173 |
| Single-Equation Methods | p. 176 |
| Systems Methods | p. 180 |
| General Notes | p. 181 |
| Technical Notes | p. 186 |
| Violating Assumption Five: Multicollinearity | p. 192 |
| Introduction | p. 192 |
| Consequences | p. 193 |
| Detecting Multicollinearity | p. 194 |
| What To Do | p. 196 |
| General Notes | p. 198 |
| Technical Notes | p. 202 |
| Incorporating Extraneous Information | p. 203 |
| Introduction | p. 203 |
| Exact Restrictions | p. 203 |
| Stochastic Restrictions | p. 204 |
| Pre-Test Estimators | p. 204 |
| Extraneous Information and MSE | p. 206 |
| General Notes | p. 207 |
| Technical Notes | p. 211 |
| The Bayesian Approach | p. 213 |
| Introduction | p. 213 |
| What is a Bayesian Analysis? | p. 213 |
| Advantages of the Bayesian Approach | p. 216 |
| Overcoming Practitioners' Complaints | p. 217 |
| General Notes | p. 220 |
| Technical Notes | p. 226 |
| Dummy Variables | p. 232 |
| Introduction | p. 232 |
| Interpretation | p. 233 |
| Adding Another Qualitative Variable | p. 234 |
| Interacting with Quantitative Variables | p. 235 |
| Observation-Specific Dummies | p. 236 |
| General Notes | p. 237 |
| Technical Notes | p. 240 |
| Qualitative Dependent Variables | p. 241 |
| Dichotomous Dependent Variables | p. 241 |
| Polychotomous Dependent Variables | p. 244 |
| Ordered Logit/Probit | p. 245 |
| Count Data | p. 246 |
| General Notes | p. 246 |
| Technical Notes | p. 254 |
| Limited Dependent Variables | p. 262 |
| Introduction | p. 262 |
| The Tobit Model | p. 263 |
| Sample Selection | p. 265 |
| Duration Models | p. 267 |
| General Notes | p. 269 |
| Technical Notes | p. 273 |
| Panel Data | p. 281 |
| Introduction | p. 281 |
| Allowing for Different Intercepts | p. 282 |
| Fixed Versus Random Effects | p. 284 |
| Short Run Versus Long Run | p. 286 |
| Long, Narrow Panels | p. 287 |
| General Notes | p. 288 |
| Technical Notes | p. 292 |
| Time Series Econometrics | p. 296 |
| Introduction | p. 296 |
| ARIMA Models | p. 297 |
| VARs | p. 298 |
| Error Correction Models | p. 299 |
| Testing for Unit Roots | p. 301 |
| Cointegration | p. 302 |
| General Notes | p. 304 |
| Technical Notes | p. 314 |
| Forecasting | p. 331 |
| Introduction | p. 331 |
| Causal Forecasting/Econometric Models | p. 332 |
| Time Series Analysis | p. 333 |
| Forecasting Accuracy | p. 334 |
| General Notes | p. 335 |
| Technical Notes | p. 342 |
| Robust Estimation | p. 345 |
| Introduction | p. 345 |
| Outliers and Influential Observations | p. 346 |
| Guarding Against Influential Observations | p. 347 |
| Artificial Neural Networks | p. 349 |
| Nonparametric Estimation | p. 350 |
| General Notes | p. 352 |
| Technical Notes | p. 356 |
| Applied Econometrics | p. 361 |
| Introduction | p. 361 |
| The Ten Commandments of Applied Econometrics | p. 362 |
| Getting the Wrong Sign | p. 368 |
| Common Mistakes | p. 372 |
| What do Practitioners Need to Know? | p. 373 |
| General Notes | p. 374 |
| Technical Notes | p. 383 |
| Computational Considerations | p. 385 |
| Introduction | p. 385 |
| Optimizing via a Computer Search | p. 386 |
| Estimating Integrals via Simulation | p. 388 |
| Drawing Observations from Awkward Distributions | p. 390 |
| General Notes | p. 392 |
| Technical Notes | p. 397 |
| Sampling Distributions, The Foundation of Statistics | p. 403 |
| All About Variance | p. 407 |
| A Primer on Asymptotics | p. 412 |
| Exercises | p. 417 |
| Answers to Even-Numbered Questions | p. 479 |
| Glossary | p. 503 |
| Bibliography | p. 511 |
| Name Index | p. 563 |
| Subject Index | p. 573 |
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