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Preface
List of Abbreviations
Part One Motivation
1 Introduction
References
2 A Brief Course in R
2.1 Origin and Development
2.2 Getting Help
2.3 Working with R
2.4 Classes, Methods and Functions
2.5 The Accompanying Package FRAPO
References
3 Financial Market Data
3.1 Stylised Facts of Financial Market Returns
3.1.1 Stylised Facts for Univariate Series
3.1.2 Stylised Facts for Multivariate Series
3.2 Implications f... MORE
References
4 Measuring Risks
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Synopsis of Risk Measures
4.3 Portfolio Risk Concepts
References
5 Modern Portfolio Theory
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Markowitz Portfolios
5.3 Empirical Mean-Variance Portfolios
References
Part Two Risk Modelling
6 Suitable Distributions for Returns
6.1 Preliminaries
6.2 The Generalised Hyperbolic Distribution
6.3 The Generalised Lambda Distribution
6.4 Synopsis of R Packages for GHYP
6.4.1 The package fBasics
6.4.2 The package GeneralizedHyperbolic
6.4.3 The package ghyp
6.4.4 The package QRM
6.4.5 The package SkewHyperbolic
6.4.6 The package VarianceGamma
6.5 Synopsis of R Packages for GLD
6.5.1 The package Davies
6.5.2 The package fBasics
6.5.3 The package GLDEX
6.5.4 The package gld
6.5.5 The package lmomco
6.6 Applications of the GHD to Risk Modelling
6.6.1 Fitting stock returns to the GHD
6.6.2 Risk assessment with the GHD
6.6.3 Stylised Facts Revisited
6.7 Applications of the GLD to Risk Modelling and Data Analysis
6.7.1 VaR for a Single Stock
6.7.2 Shape Triangle for FTSE 100 Constituents
References
7 Extreme Value Theory
7.1 Preliminaries
7.2 Extreme Value Methods and Models
7.2.1 The Block Maxima Approach
7.2.2 The r-largest Order Models
7.2.3 The Peaks-over-Threshold Approach
7.3 Synopsis of R Packages
7.3.1 The package evd
7.3.2 The package evdbayes
7.3.3 The package evir
7.3.4 The package fExtremes
7.3.5 The packages ismev and extRemes
7.3.6 The package POT
7.3.7 The package QRM
7.3.8 The package Renext
7.4 Empirical Applications of EVT
7.4.1 Section Outline
7.4.2 Block Maxima Model for Siemens
7.4.3 r-Block Maxima for BMW
7.4.4 POT-Method for Boeing
References
8 Modelling Volatility
8.1 Preliminaries
8.2 The class of ARCH-models
8.3 Synopsis of R Packages
8.3.1 The package bayesGARCH
8.3.2 The package ccgarch
8.3.3 The package fGarch
8.3.4 The package gogarch
8.3.5 The packages rugarch and rmgarch
8.3.6 The package tseries
8.4 Empirical Application of Volatility Models
References
9 Modelling Dependence
9.1 Overview
9.2 Correlation, Dependence and Distributions
9.3 Copulae
9.3.1 Motivation
9.3.2 Correlations and Dependence Revisited
9.3.3 Classification and Kinds of Copulae
9.4 Synopsis of R Packages
9.4.1 The package BLCOP
9.4.2 The packages copula and nacopula
9.4.3 The package fCopulae
9.4.4 The package gumbel
9.4.5 The package QRM
9.5 Empirical Applications of Copulae
9.5.1 GARCH- Copula Model
9.5.2 Mixed Copulae Approaches
References
Part Three Portfolio Optimisation Approaches
10 Robust Portfolio Optimisation
10.1 Overview
10.2 Robust Statistics
10.2.1 Motivation
10.2.2 Selected Robust Estimators
10.3 Robust Optimisation
10.3.1 Motivation
10.3.2 Uncertainty Sets and Problem Formulation
10.4 Synopsis of R Packages
10.4.1 The package covRobust
10.4.2 The package fPortfolio
10.4.3 The package MASS
10.4.4 The package robustbase
10.4.5 The package robust
10.4.6 The package rrcov
10.4.7 The package Rsocp
10.5 Empirical Application
10.5.1 Portfolio Simulation: Robust vs. Classical Statistics
10.5.2 Portfolio Back Test: Robust vs. Classical Statistics
10.5.3 Portfolio Back Test: Robust Optimisation
References
11 Diversification Reconsidered
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Most-Diversified Portfolio
11.3 Risk Contribution Constrained Portfolios
11.4 Optimal Tail-Dependent Portfolios
11.5 Synopsis of R Packages
11.5.1 The packages DEoptim and RcppDE
11.5.2 The package FRAPO
11.5.3 The package PortfolioAnalytics
11.6 Empirical Applications
11.6.1 Comparison of Approaches
11.6.2 Optimal Tail-Dependent Portfolio against Benchmark
11.6.3 Limiting Contributions to Expected Shortfall
References
12 Risk-Optimal Portfolios
12.1 Overview
12.2 Mean-VaR Portfolios
12.3 Optimal CVaR Portfolios
12.4 Optimal Draw Down Portfolios
12.5 Synopsis of R Packages
12.5.1 The package fPortfolio
12.5.2 The package FRAPO
12.5.3 R packages for Linear Programming
12.5.4 The package PerformanceAnalytics
12.6 Empirical Applications
12.6.1 Minimum-CVaR versus Minimum-Variance Portfolios
12.6.2 Draw Down Constrained Portfolios
12.6.3 Backtest Comparison for Stock Portfolio
References
13 Tactical Asset Allocation
13.1 Overview
13.2 Survey of Selected Time Series Models
13.2.1 Univariate Time Series Models
13.2.2 Multivariate Time Series Models
13.3 Black-Litterman Approach
13.4 Copula Opinion and Entropy Pooling
13.4.1 Introduction
13.4.2 The COP-model
13.4.3 The EP-model
13.5 Synopsis of R packages
13.5.1 The package BLCOP
13.5.2 The package dse
13.5.3 The package fArma
13.5.4 The package forecast
13.5.5 The package MSBVAR
13.5.6 The package PairTrading
13.5.7 The packages urca and vars
13.6 Empirical Applications
13.6.1 Black-Litterman Portfolio Optimisation
13.6.2 Copula Opinion Pooling
13.6.3 Protection Strategies
References
A Package Overview
A.1 Packages in Alphabetical Order
A.2 Packages Ordered by Topic
B Time Series Data
B.1 Date-Time Classes
B.2 The ts-Class in the base package stats
B.3 Irregular-Spaced TimeSeries
B.4 The package timeSeries
B.5 The package zoo
B.6 The packages tframe and xts
C Back testing and Reporting of Portfolio Strategies
C.1 R Packages for Back testing
C.2 R Facilities for Reporting
C.3 Interfacing Databases
D Technicalities
References
Index